Below are the initial Riles Clubhouse predictions for the upcoming Australian Open. Novak Djokovic is obviously the strong favorite based on his performance last season and start to this season. However, we calculate that he is more likely to lose this tournament than win it. Part of this reason is that he would likely have to face many of the players he has lost to (there are not many of them) in the last 18 months (Nishikori, Federer, Murray/Wawrinka). This draw actually sets up poorly for Djokovic. More draw analysis to follow.