Tournament Predictions

Australian Open Predictions – Updated Post Round 1

Looking back on the first round, our analysis did highlight the danger that Fognini, Gulbis, & Robredo encountered.  Now based on the results of the first 2 days, below are the updated odds for the remainder of the tournament.

Australian Open Predictions 1-20-2015
Australian Open Predictions 1-20-2015

No major changes at the top, Djokovic odds have dropped slightly while Federer’s & Nadal’s improved slightly.

More detailed analysis discussed below.

Djokovic Quarter

Favorite: Djokovic (70.9%)

Challengers: Monfils (9.6%), Raonic (8.6%)

Next Most Likely Top 16 Seed to Exit: #12 Lopez has a 56%  & 85% chances of losing in  Rounds 2 or 3, respectively

Wawrinka Quarter

Favorite: None

Challengers: Ferrer (33.0%), Nishikori (25.1%), Wawrinka (23.8%)

Next Most Likely Top 16 Seed to Exit: #4 Wawrinka has a 23%  & 43% chances of losing in  Rounds 2 or 3, respectively

Nadal Quarter

Favorite: Nadal (70.9%)

Challenger: Berdych (11.4%)

Next Most Likely Top 16 Seed to Exit: #14 Anderson has a 27% & 57% chances of losing in  Rounds 2 or 3, respectively

Federer Quarter

Favorite: Federer (48.6%)

Challengers: Murray (24.0%), Dimitrov (11.7%)

Next Most Likely Top 16 Seed to Exit: #10 Dimitrov has a 27% & 39% chances of losing in  Rounds 2 or 3, respectively

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